Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.192585 0.214397 0.236932 0.261901 0.288735 0.316654 0.347843
2024-12-29 0.167198 0.197331 0.229739 0.267010 0.308507 0.353113 0.404506
2025-01-05 0.145698 0.181254 0.220885 0.267955 0.321947 0.381567 0.451989
2025-01-12 0.128100 0.167466 0.212824 0.268291 0.333622 0.407469 0.496572
2025-01-19 0.112600 0.154463 0.204255 0.266835 0.342353 0.429535 0.536736
2025-01-26 0.101344 0.145437 0.199442 0.269021 0.354820 0.455715 0.581820
2025-02-02 0.094249 0.140883 0.199519 0.276725 0.373719 0.489586 0.636405
2025-02-09 0.085340 0.133108 0.194817 0.277878 0.384185 0.513159 0.678789
2025-02-16 0.078739 0.127792 0.192763 0.281983 0.398089 0.540894 0.726448
2025-02-23 0.074725 0.125649 0.194600 0.290944 0.418124 0.576379 0.784046
2025-03-02 0.067227 0.117886 0.188276 0.288622 0.423258 0.593003 0.818222
2025-03-09 0.061439 0.112111 0.184243 0.288991 0.431633 0.613610 0.857450
2025-03-16 0.055367 0.105582 0.178983 0.287720 0.438146 0.632455 0.895517
2025-03-23 0.051822 0.102660 0.178674 0.293184 0.453685 0.663145 0.949116
2025-03-30 0.047414 0.097951 0.175400 0.294191 0.463020 0.685736 0.992488
2025-04-06 0.043271 0.093289 0.171865 0.294548 0.471295 0.706904 1.034172
2025-04-13 0.039084 0.088143 0.167230 0.292986 0.476677 0.724129 1.070764
2025-04-20 0.036148 0.084908 0.165347 0.295325 0.487475 0.748678 1.117238
2025-04-27 0.034677 0.084188 0.167394 0.303568 0.506785 0.784993 1.179762
2025-05-04 0.031943 0.080851 0.164964 0.304801 0.515900 0.807392 1.223826
2025-05-11 0.030020 0.078875 0.164637 0.309191 0.529600 0.836205 1.276786
2025-05-18 0.029144 0.078882 0.167610 0.318772 0.551042 0.875985 1.345000
2025-05-25 0.026320 0.074662 0.163103 0.316289 0.554468 0.890570 1.378976